Indemnity:The author of this blog, Eddie Miller, also known as Swayseeker, accepts no responsibility or liability for any problems or loss that might occur from the use of this blog. THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL SITE. I USE MY OWN CALCULATIONS AND DO NOT GIVE ANY GUARANTEES.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Fire danger calculator
Fire danger calculator at http://zfpa.co.za/fdi.html (see online calculator).
Monday, March 20, 2017
Both low RH and high wind speeds dry vegetation and result in higher probability of fires.
a) I have divided the wind speed by RH for each day and constructed a formula to give a "drying index" (black curve). Looking at the graph one can see where there could be a strong cumulative effect (many days one after the other where winspeed/RH is high). Above 0 spells danger for the "Drying Index".
b) I also used the Angstrom Index in another formula and calibrated, etc. Above 0 spells danger for my combined "Dryness Linked Fire Index".
Details:
1) The Angstrom Index (a well known index) is evaluated at midday, so I have used maximum temperatures for the day from the 7 day weather forecast. An RH of 0.5 (50%) and a wind speed of 11 km/hour are regarded by me as average (not safe or dangerous). Since 11/0.5=22, one can subtract 22 from windspeed/RH to centre this index at 0, so windspeed/Rh - 22 is centred at 0 (the intention is that above zero is favourable for fires and below is not).
2) The well known Angstrom Index formula is
Ai=RH/20 + (27-T)/10 and a value for Ai greater than 3 is unfavourable for fires and a value less than 3 is favourable for fires (I have seen slightly different opinions on these figures). Anyhow, these Angstrom index figures are a bit confusing, so I use my own formula (100)(1/Ai) - 33.333 and then from 0 upwards is favourable for fires and a value below 0 is unfavourable.
1) My dryness index is [ (windspeed/RH) - 22 ]/3 (black curve)
2) My combined Dryness Linked Fire Index formula is
100(1/Ai) - 33.333 + [ (windspeed/RH) - 22 ]/3 (red curve).
a) I have divided the wind speed by RH for each day and constructed a formula to give a "drying index" (black curve). Looking at the graph one can see where there could be a strong cumulative effect (many days one after the other where winspeed/RH is high). Above 0 spells danger for the "Drying Index".
b) I also used the Angstrom Index in another formula and calibrated, etc. Above 0 spells danger for my combined "Dryness Linked Fire Index".
Details:
1) The Angstrom Index (a well known index) is evaluated at midday, so I have used maximum temperatures for the day from the 7 day weather forecast. An RH of 0.5 (50%) and a wind speed of 11 km/hour are regarded by me as average (not safe or dangerous). Since 11/0.5=22, one can subtract 22 from windspeed/RH to centre this index at 0, so windspeed/Rh - 22 is centred at 0 (the intention is that above zero is favourable for fires and below is not).
2) The well known Angstrom Index formula is
Ai=RH/20 + (27-T)/10 and a value for Ai greater than 3 is unfavourable for fires and a value less than 3 is favourable for fires (I have seen slightly different opinions on these figures). Anyhow, these Angstrom index figures are a bit confusing, so I use my own formula (100)(1/Ai) - 33.333 and then from 0 upwards is favourable for fires and a value below 0 is unfavourable.
1) My dryness index is [ (windspeed/RH) - 22 ]/3 (black curve)
2) My combined Dryness Linked Fire Index formula is
100(1/Ai) - 33.333 + [ (windspeed/RH) - 22 ]/3 (red curve).
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Fire danger calculator
Fire danger calculator at http://zfpa.co.za/fdi.html (see online calculator).
-
Both low RH and high wind speeds dry vegetation and result in higher probability o f fires. a) I have divided the wind speed by RH for each...
-
FOR GRAPHS OF FIRE DANGER FOR ONE OR TWO SOUTH AFRICAN CITIES SEE MY FACEBOOK PAGE https://www.facebook.com/Fire-Danger-South-Africa-253180...
-
Fire danger calculator at http://zfpa.co.za/fdi.html (see online calculator).